• Andy Turner's MedAction Work Package 3.3: Forecasting land use change and land degradation: an internet tool for EU planners, decision-makers and citizens interested in the effects of global climatic change Web Page

  • [An image of Andy Turner]

  • Introduction

    • This page is about Work Package 3.3 of Module 3 of MedAction, a project about Mediterranean Land Degradation.
    • Work Package 3.3 title was: Forecasting land use change and land degradation: an internet tool for EU planners, decision-makers and citizens interested in the effects of global climatic change was part of Module 3: Application of decision support systems to land management scenarios for policy formulation in the Target Areas.
    • This work was carried out over 3 years and was project managed by Andy Turner. James Macgill and Richard Kingston worked on the project in the early stages and Jianhui Jin did most of the work and development.
    • There was so little resource for this work, that delivering it was a challenge that was, in the end, well met.
    • Contents
      • Description of Work
      • Development of a Synoptic Prediction System
      • References
      • Validation and Metadata
  • Description of Work

    • From the original Description of Work:
      • "Work Package 3.3 concerns the development of an interactive web interface to a Synoptic Prediction System (SPS) which integrates predictions of the climate, physical and socio-economic environment to create scenario-based forecasts of agricultural land-use and land degradation at the Mediterranean regional scale. The interface will be developed as a scenario testing tool that decision-makers, politicians, local end-users and the public can access and use to learn about the desertification issues by running "what if ……..?" type simulations. In addition to being an educational tool it will actively encourage the public and experts to participate in the development and application of a scenario based modelling framework."
  • Development of a Synoptic Prediction System (SPS)

    • James Macgill started the work by populating a Web Map Server (WMS) with some of the data inputs.
    • Richard Kingston developed a prototype interface which was made available online and was the basis for some publication:
      • MedAction: An Internet Tool For Forecasting Land Use Change And Land Degradation In The Mediterranean Region
      • The MedAction Internet Tool for Forecasting Land-use Change and Land Degradation
    • The work done by James and Richard was not really tied together, but it did show potential.
    • The second phase of development was done by Jianhui Jin. This involved the development of Neural Network and Fuzzy Inference Engines, the processing of data and the integration of this back end with a new interface. This was a considerable amount of work which was done with the resources available only because Jin is a very special person in being capable. The source code of Jin's development is available via the following URL:
      • http://www.geog.leeds.ac.uk/people/a.turner/src/andyt/java/projects/MedAction/
    • Unfortunately shortly after the SPS system was developed the CCG Webserver machine suffered a catastrophic failure from which we are still recovering. Jin developed a prototype interface before working towards the delivery of a final system.
      • Hopefully before too long the prototype and final systems developed by Jin will be linked here.
  • References

    • Project References
      • Andy Turner's Projects Web Page
      • MedAction
        • Description of Work
        • IST Project Details: Policies for land use to combat desertification (MEDACTION 4)
        • Module 3: Application of decision support systems to land management scenarios for policy formulation in the Target Areas
          • Work Package 3.1 and Work Package 3.2: Application of Decision Support System to Alentejo, Agri, Guadalentín and Lesvos Target Areas
            • http://www.ncl.ac.uk/medaction/
            • http://www.riks.nl/projects/medaction
          • Work Package 3.3 Forecasting land use change and land degradation: an internet tool for EU planners, decision-makers and citizens interested in the effects of global climatic change
            • http://www.geog.leeds.ac.uk/people/a.turner/src/andyt/java/projects/MedAction/
            • Report on the Development of: An Internet based Synoptic Prediction System Geared for Estimating Land Use Change and Land Degradation Risk In the Mediterranean Climate Region of the European Union
            • MedAction: An Internet Tool For Forecasting Land Use Change And Land Degradation In The Mediterranean Region
            • The MedAction Internet Tool for Forecasting Land-use Change and Land Degradation
            • Andy Turner's MEDALUS III Topic 9.1: GIS-based Socio-Economic Modelling at Regional Scale Web Page
    • Other References
      • Organisations
        • Wikipedia : International Year of Deserts and Desertification (2006)
        • European Commission - Research Directorate-General
        • Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)
        • Global Environment Facility (GEF)
        • International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD)
        • International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED)
        • International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN)
        • United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD)
        • United Nations Development Programme (UNDP)
        • United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
        • Ongoing and Recent Projects
          • Active exchange of experience on indicators and development of perspectives in the context of UNCCD (AIDCCD)
          • Understanding anthropogenic causes of desertification and land degradation in the Mediterranean basin (ARCHAEOMEDES II)
          • A Research Network for Studies of Global Desertification (ARIDnet)
          • Changes in Arid Mediterranean Ecosystems on the Long term and Earth Observation (CAMELEO)
          • Combating Desertification in Mediterranean Europe: Linking Science with Stakeholders (DESERTLINKS)
          • German Competence Network for Research to Combat Desertification (DESERTNET)
          • Developing a user-tailored, standardised, commonly accepted and operational information system based on EO technology to support national and regional authorities of Annex IV countries in reporting commonly to the UNCCD and assessing and monitoring desertification and its trends over time (DESERTWATCH)
          • Geomatics in the Assessment and Sustainable Management of Mediterranean Rangelands (GEORANGE)
          • Harmonised Modelling Tools for Integrated Basin Management (Harmoni-CA)
          • Land Degradation Assessment for Drylands (LADA)
          • Land Degradation Assessment in Mediterranean Europe (LADAMER)
          • Land-Use and Land-Cover Change (LUCC)
          • Integration of multi-scale dynamic spatial models of socio-economic and physical processes for river basin management (MEDACTION)
          • Concerted Action to support the Northern Mediterranean Action Programme to Combat Desertification (MEDRAP)
          • Pan-European Soil Erosion Risk Assessment (PESERA)
          • System for Environmental and Agricultural Modelling Linking European Science and Society (SEAMLESS)
        • Old Projects
          • Assessment of remote sensing techniques for monitoring the extent and progression of desertification in the Mediterranean area (ASMODE)
          • Integrated approches to desertification mapping and monitoring in the Mediterranean basin (DEMON)
          • Desertification Information System for the Mediterranean (DISMED)
          • Mediterranean Desertification and Land Use (MEDALUS)
          • A spatial modelling tool for integrated environmental decision-making (MODULUS)
          • Remote Sensing of Mediterranean Desertification and Environmental Changes (RESMEDES)
  • Validation and Metadata

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    • Version 0.1.0 of this page published on 2008-01-18.
    • Page hosted on the School of Geography webserver at the University of Leeds.
    • Copyright: Andy Turner, University of Leeds