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School of Geography

Phil Rees Prof Phil Rees

Contact details

Room Miall 10.17
School of Geography
University of Leeds
University Road
Leeds LS2 9JT   UK

Email:
p.h.rees

Telephone:
+44 (0) 113 34 33286

Student hours:
Open, when in office

Research overview

In one projection being prepared official assumptions for national immigration and emigration but in an alternative projection higher assumptions will be made, based on the experience of the UK since 2010 and a world view about the pressures driving inter-country migration. The message of all the projections is that the UK is undergoing a transition to a more diverse society and that this diversity is spreading out from the big cities to other cities and towns throughout the country. What is uncertain and the subject of our research is how fast is the transition proceeding and how far.

Phil Rees's current research interests include study of ethnic minority populations in Britain, population forecasting methodologies and their applications to ethnic groups. He has recently worked on developing e-learning materials (with Helen Durham), methods of water demand forecasting methods (with John Parsons, Patrick Sim and Adrian MacDonald) and classification of output areas from the 2001 Census (with Daniel Vickers).

Research interests

  • Analysis of ethnic minority populations in Britain
  • Population forecasting methodologies and their applications
  • Analysis of the Census of Population
  • Development of e-Learning materials
  • Health and other inequalities
  • Comparative analysis of migration dynamics in Australia and Britain
  • Analysis of internal migration in European countries
  • Statistical disclosure control for UK Censuses v

Research students

  • Rukchanok KARCHARNUBARN (supervisor Myles Gould) (2006-2009)
  • John McCARTHY (supervisor Paul Norman) (2007-2009)
  • Belinda WU (supervisor Mark Birkin) (2006-2009)

Presentations

2009

  • Rees, P. and Wohland, P. (2009) Estimates of mortality for ethnic groups: the missing variable in projections of ethnicity. Presentation at the Oxford Institute of Ageing, 12 February 2009.

2008

  • Rees, P., Norman, P., Wohland, P. and Boden, P. (2008) Ethnic Group Population Trends and Projections for UK Local Areas, Presentation to a Stakeholder Meeting, GLA, City Hall, The Queen’s Walk, More London, London SE1 2AA, 18 December, 2008 [PDF].
  • Norman, P., Rees, P., Wohland, P., Boden, P., Stillwell, J., Dennett, A., Hussain, S. (2008) What happens when international migrants settle? Ethnic group population trends & projections for UK local areas: the components for projection. Regional Health Intelligence Forum, Yorkshire and Humber Public Health Observatory, University of York, 8 December 2008 [PDF].
  • Norman, P., Boden, P., Stillwell, J., Rees, P., Wohland, P., Dennett, A., Hussain, S. (2008) Ethnic populations: the components for projection, Social Statistics Section, Royal Statistical Society, 12 Errol Street, London, 2 December 2008 [PDF].
  • Rees, P., Wohland, P., Norman, P. and Boden, P. (2008) A population projection model for ethnic groups, specification for a multi-country, multi-zone and multi-group model for the United Kingdom, Presentation at the International Conference of Effects of Migrations on Population Structures in Europe, Vienna Institute of Demography, Vienna, 1-2 December 2008 [PDF].
  • Rees, P. and Wohland, P. (2008) Estimation of mortality for ethnic groups at local scale. Presentation at the Southampton Social Statistics Seminar, 20 November 2008 [PDF].
  • Rees, P., Wohland, P., Norman, P. and Boden, P. (2008) Design of a subnational population projection model for ethnic groups, group presentation at the CSAP Meeting, School of Geography, University of Leeds, 14 October 2008 [PDF].
  • Rees, P. and Wohland, P (2008) Development of a projection model for ethnic groups in the UK incorporating internal and international migration and new estimates of ethnic mortality. Presentation at the QMSS2 Seminar on the Estimation and Projection of International Migration, University of Southampton, 17-19 September 2008. Also presented at the Office for National Statistics, Titchfield, 19 September 2008. [PDF]
  • Rees, P. and Wohland, P. (2008b) Estimates of ethnic mortality in the UK. Presentation at the ESRC Research Methods Festival, Session: Research Methods for Understanding Population Trends and Processes using secondary data, St. Catherine’s College, Oxford, 1 July 2008. [PDF]
  • Rees, P. (2008) Estimates of ethnic group mortality for local authorities in England. Presentation at the Greater London Authority, 13 June 2008.
  • Boden, P. and Rees, P. (2008) New migrant databank. Presentation at the Greater London Authority, City Hall, London, 13 June 2008.
  • Rees, P. and Boden, P. (2008) Measuring long and short-term migration. Presentation at the Joint BURISA/Statistics User Forum Conference (with the Royal Statistical Society), All Change – How Can We Get Better Statistics to Plan Local Services, Royal Statistical Society, London, 16 May 2008. [PDF].
  • Rees, P. (2008) Design of a subnational population projection model for ethnic groups and for dealing with uncertainty in internal migration. Presentation at the Office for National Statistics, Titchfield, Fareham, Hampshire, 11 April 2008.
  • Rees, P., Norman, P. and Boden, P. (2008) What happens when international migrants settle? Ethnic group population trends and projections for UK local areas under alternative scenarios. Presentation at the ESRC UPTAP Annual Conference 2008, University of Leeds, 18-19 March 2008.
  • Rees, P. (2008) Design of a subnational population projection model for ethnic groups and for dealing with uncertainty in internal migration. BSPS Day Meeting on Population Projections, .London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London, 29 February 2008 [PPS].

2007

  • Rees P. (2007) Ethnic Population Projections: Review and Illustration of Issues. Paper presented at the Workshop on Monitoring Population Change with an Ethnic Group Dimension, Cathie Marsh Centre for Census and Survey Research, University of Manchester, Thursday 5th September, 2007.
  • Wu B., Birkin M. and Rees P. (2007) A Spatial MSM with an ABM insight. Paper presented at the RGS-IBG Annual Conference 2007, 28-31 August 2007, Session: Agent Based Models, 31 August 2007.
  • Rees P. (2007) Population Challenge: Prospects for the European Labour Force in the 21st Century. Paper presented at the RGS-IBG Annual Conference 2007, 28-31 August 2007, Session: POPRG1 Population Change: Review of Research Challenges for the 21st Century, 30 August 2007.
  • Rees, P. (2007) Rethinking Populations for Use in Policy. Paper presented at the Fourth International Conference on Population Geographies, # The Chinese University of Hong Kong, 10-13 July 2007. Online at http://www.grm.cuhk.edu.hk
  • Rees P. (2007) Ethnic Population Projections: Review and Illustration of Issues. Paper presented at the Workshop on Monitoring Population Change with an Ethnic Group Dimension, Cathie Marsh Centre for Census and Survey Research, University of Manchester, Friday May 18th, 2007.
  • Rees P. (2007) What Happens When International Migrants Settle? Ethnic Group Projections for UK Regions: Methods, Results, Implications. Presentation at HM Treasury, Whitehall, London Thursday 15th February 2007

2006

  • Wilson T. and Rees P. with Poot J. (2006) Labour Force. Presentation at the 2006 ASSA Annual Symposium, Australians on the Move: Internal Migration in Australia. 21 November 2006, Shine Dome, Canberra.
  • Rees P. (2006) Population and Household Projections for Smaller Areas - The Theory. Presentation at the General Register Office for Scotland Seminar on The Theory and Practice of Population and Household Projections, Wed. 9th November 2005, John McIntyre Centre, Pollock Halls of Residence, Edinburgh University, Edinburgh.
  • Rees P. (2006) Globalisation, Population Mobility and the Impact of Migration on Population. Paper presented at the British Society for Population Studies, Annual Conference 18-20 September 2006, University of Southampton.
  • Rees P. (2006) What is happening to the UK population in a global mobility system? Paper presented at the ESRC/ONS Public Policy Seminar Series on Demographic Change and Government Policy, Third Seminar on: Globalisation, Population Mobility and the Impact of Migration on Population, Friday 21 July 2006, Royal Statistical Society, 12 Errol Street, London.
  • Rees P. (2007) Projection of the Population of Ethnic Groups in the UK. Paper presented at the IGU Conference 2006, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia, Tuesday 4th July 2006. Session: Global Change and Human Mobility.
  • Rees P. and Parsons J. (2006) Child Poverty in the UK: Socio-Demographic Scenarios to 2020 for Children. Paper presented at the Third International Population Geographies Conference University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK, 19-21 June 2006.
  • Rees P. and John Parsons (2006) A Projection of Subnational Populations for the Whole United Kingdom For Use In Water Demand Forecasting. Paper presented at the European Population Conference 2006, Liverpool 21-24 June. Session 22, Population Change on National and Regional Levels, Thursday, June 22.
  • Rees P., Vickers D. and Jin J. (2006) Trends in Migration to and from Scotland: an Analysis. Can migration keep Scotland's population above 5 million? Paper presented at the Third International Population Geographies Conference, 19-21 June 2006, University of Liverpool.
  • Jali R., Stillwell J. and Rees P. (2006) Changing Patterns of Internal Migration in Malaysia. Paper presented at the Third International Population Geographies Conference, 19-21 June 2006, University of Liverpool.
  • Vickers D. and Rees P. (2006) Quality Assuring and Adding Value to the 2001 Census Output Area Classification. Paper presented at the Third International Population Geographies Conference, 19-21 June 2006, University of Liverpool.
  • Rees P. and Boden P. (2006) Estimating London's New Migrant Population. Presentation at a British Society for Population Studies Seminar, Greater London Authority, City Hall, May 2nd 2006.
  • Durham H., Mackay L., Duke-Williams O., Rees P., Arrell K., Nawaz R. (2006) Innovative Distance-based Teaching: Deliverables from the DIALOGPLUS Project. Paper presented at the Centre for Spatial Analysis and Policy seminar series, School of Geography, University of Leeds, 8 March 2006.

2005

  • Rees P., Vickers D. and Birkin M. (2005) The ONS 2001 OA Classification. Paper presented at the Conference on Census: Present and Future, ESRC/JISC 2001 Census of Population Programme, Gilbert Murray Conference Centre, University of Leicester, 16-17 November 2005.
  • Rees P. (2005) Yorkshire Police Budgets through Scottish Migration to Ethnic Population Projections: Applied Research Therapy when Recovering from Headship. School of Geography Seminar, Thursday 20 October 2005.
  • Rees P. and Parsons J. (2005) Child Poverty in the UK: Socio-Demographic Scenarios to 2020. Summary of Final Report for the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, presented at the Institute of Fiscal Studies, London, 26th October, 2005
  • Rees P. and Parsons J. (2005) Child Poverty in the UK: Socio-Demographic Scenarios to 2020. Illustrated Example. Presentation at the Institute of Fiscal Studies, London, 26th October, 2005.
  • Rees P. (2005) Estimating International Migration at Regional Scale for Ethnic Groups in the United Kingdom. Paper presented at the Workshop on International Migration organised by the Social Science Research Institute, University of Southampton and the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, 28-30 September 2005, University of Southampton. Online at http://www.s3ri.soton.ac.uk/events/2005
  • Rees P. (2005) Getting It All Together and Letting the World Know About It. Presentation at the DIALOG-PLUS Meeting held at Penn State University, State College, USA Sunday 18 and Monday 19 September 2005.
  • Rees P., Parsons J. and Wilson T. (2005) Projections of Population Ageing in the Countries, Regions and Localities of the United Kingdom. Paper presented at the RGS-IBG Annual Conference, Royal Geographical Society London, Thursday 1 September 2005, Session: The Geographical Dimensions of Ageing (Population Geography Research Group).
  • Rees P. (2005) Sharing Authorship of Distance Learning Materials and Practices. Paper presented at the JISC Joint Programmes Meeting, 7-8 July 2005, Homerton College Cambridge.
  • Rees P. and Kupiszewski M. (2005) The Changing Structure of Internal Migration in Eighteen European Countries. Paper presented at the 1st European Conference on Population Geographies, Hosted by the Population Geography Research Group of the Royal Geographical Society (with Institute of British Geographers), Wednesday 30 &Thursday 31 March 2005, University of Wales Swansea.
  • Rees P. (2005) Counting People: Past, Present, Future - Reflections at the Start of the 21st Century. Seminar presented at the Faculty of Economic Sciences, Warsaw University, 12 May 2005.
  • Rees P. (2005) Subnational Population Projections in the United Kingdom: Progress Report. Seminar presented at the Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, 11 May 2005.
  • Rees P. (2005) Census Geography in the United Kingdom. Seminar presented at the Australian Bureau of Statistics, 15th February 2005, ABS House, 145, Benjamin Way, Belconnen, Canberra.
  • Rees P. (2005) Demographic Ageing across the United Kingdom: New Projections of National and Local populations. Paper presented at a meeting of the Australian Population Association, Queensland Branch, Queensland Government Executive Annex, Brisbane, 11 February 2005.
  • Rees P. (2005) Adventures in On-Line Learning: From Campus Practical to Transnational Master's Programme. Paper presented at the Social Science Faculty Seminar Series, University of Queensland, St.Lucia, Queensland, 8 February 2007.
  • Martin D., Rees P. and Nelson A. (2005) IPR and Access Management: DIALOG-PLUS Experience. Presentation at the JISC/NSF Digital Libraries in the Classroom Programme Meeting, 10-11 January 2005, Upham Hotel, Santa Barbara, USA.
  • Rees P., Durham H., Mackay L., Nelson A. (2005) DIALOG-PLUS Digital Libraries in Support of Innovative Approaches to Learning and Teaching in Geography (Penn State University, Leeds University, University of California at Santa Barbara and Southampton University): Project Update Leeds Partner Report. Presentation at the JISC/NSF Digital Libraries in the Classroom Programme Meeting, 10-11 January 2005, Upham Hotel, Santa Barbara, USA.
  • Rees P. and Mackay L. (2005) Assessment of Students' Experience with Leeds On-line Modules. Presentation at the JISC/NSF Digital Libraries in the Classroom Programme Meeting, 10-11 January 2005, Upham Hotel, Santa Barbara, USA.

2004

  • Rees P. (2004) International Collaboration in the DIALOG-PLUS (Digital Libraries in Support of Innovative Approaches to Learning and Teaching in Geography) Project (JISC/NSF funded). Presentation at a University of Leeds Learning Development Unit Seminar, 19 October 2004.
  • Rees P., Stillwell J. and Tyler-Jones A. (2004) Population Structure and Life Expectancy: Community Area Dynamics in Leeds, 1991-2001. Paper presented at the Second International Conference on 'Population Geographies', RGS (with IBG) Population Geography Research Group, 11-14 August 2004, University of St. Andrews, Scotland.
  • Vickers D. with Rees P. and Birkin M. (2004) The United Kingdom National Area Classification of Output Areas. Paper presented at the Second International Conference on 'Population Geographies', RGS (with IBG) Population Geography Research Group, 11-14 August 2004, University of St. Andrews, Scotland.
  • Rees P. (2004) Discussion on Classification Techniques and Outcomes. Presentation at the Joint Seminar ESRC/NERC/EPSRC Transdisciplinary Seminar Series and ESRC Research Methods Seminar Series, 18 February 2004, New Representations: The Use of Geodemographic Classifications in Research and Public Service Delivery, Venue: Room G1, Chandler House, Wakefield Street, London WC1N 1PF.

2001

  • Rees, P. (2001) International migration and ethnic diversity in Britain: recent developments. Paper presented at the Workshop on "Strangers in a Strange Land? Migration, Multi-Ethnic Societies and Social Stability in Europe", at the Diplomatische Akademie, Wien, 19 November 2001, organised by the Institut für Wissenschaften vom Menschen, Wien.
  • Bailey, A. and Rees, P. (2001) Students in the UK: geography and trends. Paper presented at the British Society for Population Studies Annual Conference, University of Leeds, 3-4 September.
  • Peloe, A. and Rees, P. (2001) Migration by ethnic groups in London in the early nineties: analysis for life course groups and internal/external streams. Paper presented at the European Science Foundation Exploratory Workshop on: Migration and Family across the Life Course, Leeds, United Kingdom, 7-9 September 2001.

1999

  • Rees, P.H. and Kupiszewski, M. (1999) Evaluation of population scenarios for the European Union. Paper presented at the Conference of European Statisticians, Joint ECE-Eurostat Work Session on Demographic Projections, Perugia, Italy, 3-7 May 1999.
  • Rees, P.H., Kupiszewski, M., Eyre, H., Wilson, T. and Durham, H. (1999) Evaluation of population scenarios for the European Union. Paper presented at the European Population Conference, The Hague, 30 August-3 September, 1999.

1998

  • Duke-Williams, O. and Rees, P.H. (1998) A method for assessing risk of disclosure in census microdata and tabular data. Paper presented at the ONS Workshop on Statistical Disclosure Control, ONS, London.