Land Use Simulation for Europe: Contents | ||
List of Figures | xii | |
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List of Tables | xvi | |
1: A Framework for European Land Use Simulation John Stillwell and Henk Scholten | 1 | |
1.1: Introduction | 1 | |
1.2: The conceptual framework | 2 | |
1.3: Structure and content | 5 | |
Part I: Policy Perspectives, Driving Forces and Data Considerations | ||
2 The European Spatial Development Perspective: Process, Policies and Consensus Peter Ungar | 15 | |
2.1: Introduction | 15 | |
2.2: The evolution of the European Spatial Development Perspective | 15 | |
2.3: The need for co-operation on spatial development at the EU scale | 18 | |
2.4: The ESDP action programme | 18 | |
2.5: Co-operation in European spatial development: a matter of consent | 20 | |
2.6: Conclusion | 22 | |
3: European Spatial Planning: National and Regional Perspectives Hans ten Velden and John Stillwell | 25 | |
3.1: Introduction | 25 | |
3.2: The need for European spatial planning | 25 | |
3.3: The European Spatial Development Perspective | 28 | |
3.4: Information and analysis imperative | 29 | |
3.5: Impacts of the ESDP at national and regional levels | 30 | |
3.6: Conclusion | 35 | |
4: Agriculture, Forestry and Nature:Trends and Developments Across Europe Arnold Bregt and Kees de Zeeuw | 37 | |
4.1: Introduction | 37 | |
4.2: Land use in Europe | 37 | |
4.3: Trends in agriculture, forestry and nature | 37 | |
4.4: Influence of trends on the spatial environment | 40 | |
4.5: From trends to data and tools | 41 | |
4.6: Conclusions | 43 | |
5: The Projection of Population, Households, Housing and Residential Land Use John Stillwell and James Debenham | 45 | |
5.1: Introduction | 45 | |
5.2: Population projections for EU regions | 46 | |
5.3: National and sub-national population projections in the UK | 52 | |
5.4: National and sub-national household projections | 56 | |
5.5: Regional projections of housing and residential land requirements | 59 | |
5.6: Conclusions | 61 | |
6: The Land Market: A Spatial Economic Perspective Joost Buurman, Piet Rietveld and Henk Scholten | 65 | |
6.1: Introduction | 65 | |
6.2: The land market | 66 | |
6.3: The spatial land market | 74 | |
6.4: Operational models | 78 | |
6.5: Conclusions | 81 | |
7: The Role of Remote Sensing Techniques for European Land Use Database Construction Henk Kramer and Sander Mücher | 83 | |
7.1: Introduction | 83 | |
7.2: A selection of important satellite sensors | 83 | |
7.3: Available European land cover databases | 92 | |
7.4: Land use database construction | 95 | |
7.5: Conclusions | 97 | |
8: Towards a European Spatial Metadata Infrastructure to Facilitate Land Use Planning Joana Abreu and Henk Scholten | 101 | |
8.1: Introduction | 101 | |
8.2: The requirements of a spatial data information infrastructure | 102 | |
8.3: The problems to access geographic information in Europe | 103 | |
8.4: Existing geographic information infrastructures | 104 | |
8.5: Towards the European Spatial Metadata Infrastructure | 106 | |
8.6: Providing direct access to the data via Web mapping | 108 | |
8.7: Conclusions | 110 | |
Part II: Modelling Environmental and Human Systems | ||
9: Land Cover Information for European Environmental Modelling Jean-Paul Hettelingh, Maximilian Posch and Peter de Smet | 115 | |
9.1: Introduction | 115 | |
9.2: Modelling the European environment | 116 | |
9.3: The support of European acidification policies | 117 | |
9.4: The computation of critical loads and levels | 118 | |
9.5: Scientific collaboration for the mapping of critical loads and levels in Europe | 123 | |
9.6: Conclusions and recommendations | 124 | |
10: Forecasting Global Climatic Change Impacts on Mediterranean Agricultural Land Use in the Twenty First Century Stan Openshaw and Andy Turner | 127 | |
10.1: Background and context | 127 | |
10.2: Building a Synoptic Prediction System | 128 | |
10.3: Assembling the data | 130 | |
10.4: Agricultural land use modelling | 135 | |
10.5: Translating agricultural land use changes into land degradation terms | 137 | |
10.6: Conclusions | 139 | |
11: Demography, Economy and Urbanization: A Demo-Economic Regional Simulation Model Leo van Wissen and Corina Huisman | 143 | |
11.1: Introduction | 143 | |
11.2: Structure of the model | 143 | |
11.3: Demographic module | 145 | |
11.4: Labour supply | 148 | |
11.5: The economic module and labour demand | 148 | |
11.6: Urban land use | 150 | |
11.7: A number of illustrative outcomes of Decores | 151 | |
11.8: Conclusions | 156 | |
12: Interregional Migration and Land Use Pressure Beatrice Eiselt, Nicla Giglioli and Robert Peckham | 159 | |
12.1: Introduction | 159 | |
12.2: Data and software | 159 | |
12.3: Cluster analysis | 160 | |
12.4: Migration modelling | 163 | |
12.5: Forecasting and simulation | 165 | |
12.6: Application to simulation of land use pressure | 166 | |
12.7: Conclusions | 168 | |
Part III: Evaluation and Visualisation Methods | ||
13: Towards a Sustainable Future of Cities in Europe: An Evaluation of Sustainable City Initiatives Using Multicriteria Decision Support Methods
Adele Finco and Peter Nijkamp | 173 | |
13.1: Setting the scene | 173 | |
13.2: Planning for urban sustainability | 175 | |
13.3: Decision support methods for urban sustainability policy | 178 | |
13.4: The case study area | 181 | |
13.5: Multi-criteria analysis for the Local Plan of Cremona | 182 | |
13.6: MCA results | 185 | |
13.7: Conclusions | 189 | |
14: A Methodology for the Analysis of Spatial Conflicts in Transport Policies: Overview and Applications Euro Beinat | 193 | |
14.1: Introduction | 193 | |
14.2: Methodology framework | 195 | |
14.3: Inside the methodology | 197 | |
14.4: Applications | 203 | |
14.5: Conclusions | 208 | |
15: Virtual Reality and the Simulation of Europe's Land Use in the Twenty First Century António Câmara | 211 | |
15.1: Introduction | 211 | |
15.2: Virtual reality methods and the visualisation of terrains | 212 | |
15.3: Coupling simulation models to virtual environments | 220 | |
15.4: Visualisation of Europe's land use simulation model | 223 | |
15.5: Conclusions | 228 | |
Part IV: The Development of a European Land Use Simulation System | ||
16: EuroScanner: A Simulation Model for Land Use Change in Europe Piet Rietveld, Henk Scholten and John Stillwell | 235 | |
16.1: Introduction | 235 | |
16.2: Approaches to modelling land use | 235 | |
16.3: System structure and model features | 236 | |
16.4: Land use data, regional constraints, suitability maps and government policy interventions | 238 | |
16.5: Mathematical formulation of the model | 239 | |
16.6: Extensions to the doubly constrained land use model | 242 | |
16.7: Conclusions | 243 | |
17: A National Planning Application of EuroScanner in the Netherlands Kees Schotten and Camiel Heunks | 245 | |
17.1: Introduction | 245 | |
17.2: Planning background and scenario development | 245 | |
17.3: Simulation of residential areas | 247 | |
17.4: Integrated land use map | 252 | |
17.5: Environmental impact assessment | 252 | |
17.6 : Conclusions | 254 | |
18: A Regional Planning Application of EuroScanner in Portugal Alfred Wagtendonk, Rui Pedro Julião and Kees Schotten | 257 | |
18.1: Introduction | 257 | |
18.2: Lisbon and the Tagus Valley | 258 | |
18.3: Urban and regional plans | 265 | |
18.4: Land use classification of Landsat images between 1984 and 1998 | 269 | |
18.5: Identification of driving forces | 271 | |
18.6: Operationalisation of driving forces | 276 | |
18.7: Statistical analysis land use changes between 1984 and 1998 | 277 | |
18.8: Simulations with EuroScanner | 282 | |
18.9: Results of simulations | 285 | |
18.10: Conclusions | 289 | |
Subject Index | 293 | |
[Index] |